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Daniel D. Moran


Senior Scientist
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I am an environmental economist studying resource use and GHG emissions associated with global supply chains. I contribute to developing input-output models which provide Scope 3 carbon footprint results. I also work with Scope 1 emissions models. The tools I use come from applied data science and economics.

Prior to joining NILU I taught at NTNU (10 years as tenured research professor), worked on Wall Street pricing ESG risk at MSCI, and assisted Nobel laureate Paul Romer writing an Principles of Economics textbook. The Eora embodied GHG emissions data model which I helped develop and continue to operate is widely used by both firms (large private bank and financial data providers) and institutions (IMF, UN, World Bank, EU Central Bank, African Development Bank, etc.).

Key words: data science; industrial ecology; environmental economics; carbon footprinting; biodiversity footprints; embodied water; scope 3; consumption-based accounting; LCA; input-output; material flow analysis; high performance computing

Profile on Google Scholar (H-index 49)
LinkedIn
ORCiD: 0000-0002-2310-2275
Publons

Contact

Email: dmor@nilu.no

NILU

Trondheim: Kjøpmannsgata 8, Trondheim 7013, Norway
Oslo: Instituttveien 18, 2007 Kjeller

Grants and Awards

Press

I love communicating the science I work on. Uptake of my work includes:

Teaching and Supervision

Qualifications

Main Projects

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Unequal carbon tax impacts on 38 million German households: assessing spatial and socio-economic hotspots
Johannes Többen, Peter-Paul Pichler, Ingram S Jaccard, Kurt Kratena, Daniel Moran, Heran Zheng and Helga Weisz
Environmental Research: Climate
10.1088/2752-5295/aceea0
MSNBC interviewed Jared Starr about this paper when it was released. Further press includes: Forbes, The Conversation, Washington Post ("The richest Americans acount for 40% of U.S. climate emissions"), CNN, and The Hill, and a YouTube video.
Preview of summary from The Conversation

A carbon tax on investment income could be more fair and make it less profitable to pollute – a new analysis shows why

About 10 years ago, a very thick book written by a French economist became a surprising bestseller. It was called “Capital in the 21st Century.” In it, Thomas Piketty traces the history of income and wealth inequality over the past couple of hundred years.

The book’s insights struck a chord with people who felt a growing sense of economic inequality but didn’t have the data to back it up. I was one of them. It made me wonder, how much carbon pollution is being generated to create wealth for a small group of extremely rich households? Two kids, 10 years and a Ph.D. later, I finally have some answers.

In a new study, colleagues and I investigated U.S. households’ personal responsibility for greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2019. We previously studied emissions tied to consumption – the stuff people buy. This time, we looked at emissions used in generating people’s incomes, including investment income.

read more...

Reply to Bawa and Liu: Want sustainable food? Embrace complexity
Hoang, N.; Taherzadeh, O.; Ohashi, H., Yonekura, Y.; Nishijima, S., Yamabe, M., Matsui, T.; Matsuda, H.; Moran, D.; Kanemoto, K.
Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci.
10.1073/pnas.2317233120
Mapping potential conflicts between global agriculture and terrestrial conservation
Hoang, N.T., Taherzadeh, O., Ohashi, H, Yonekura, Y., Nishijima, S., Matsui, T., Matsuda, H., Moran, D., Kanemoto, K
Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci.
10.1073/pnas.2208376120
50,000+ LinkedIn views.

Rising carbon inequality and its driving factors from 2005 to 2015
Zheng, H., Wood, R., Moran, D., Feng, K., Tisserant, A., Jiang, M., Hertwich, E.
Global Environmental Change
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102704
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Global Cities Under SSP/RCP Scenarios, 1990 to 2100
Gurney, K., Kilkis, S., Seto, K., Lwasa, S., Moran, D., Riahi, K., Keller, M., Rayner, P. Luqman, M.
Global Environmental Change
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102478
Estimating CO2 Emissions for 108,000 European Cities
Moran, D., Pichler, P.P., Zheng, H., Muri, H., Klenner, J. Diogo, K., Többen, J., Weisz, H., Wiedmann, T., Wyckmans, A., Strømman, A.H., Gurney, K.R.
Earth Syst. Sci. Data
10.5194/essd-14-845-2022

We developed a GHG emissions inventory for all cities and local governments in Europe. Results are available here: openGHGmap.net. This has been a popular resource, with 150,000 views of the post on LinkedIn, and >60,000 hits on the website. Read an overview in Norwegian SciTech News

Ageing Society in Developed Countries Challenges Carbon Mitigation
Zheng, H., Long, Y., Wood, R., Moran, D., Zhang, Z., Meng, J., Feng, K., Hertwitch, E., Guan, D.
Nature Climate Change
10.1038/s41558-022-01302-y

This paper was covered by The Hill, the Independent, Anthropocene Magazine, the Daily Mail, and The Times

Entropy-based Chinese City-level MRIO table Framework
Zheng, H., Többen, J., Dietzenbacher, E., Moran, D., Meng, J., Wang, D., Guan, D.
Economic Systems Research
10.1080/09535314.2021.1932764
Time to rethink trophic levels in aquaculture policy
Cottrell, R. S. Metian, M., Froehlich, H. E., Blanchard, J. L., Jacobsen, N. S., McIntyre, P. B., Nash, K. L., Williams, D. R., Bouwman, A. F., Gephart, J. A., Kuempel, C. D., Moran, D., Troell, M., Halpern, B. S.
Reviews in Aquaculture
10.1111/raq.12535
CO2 embodied in trade: Trends and fossil fuel drivers
Weber, S., Gerlagh, R., Mathys, N., Moran, D.
Environmental Science and Pollution Research
10.1007/s11356-020-12178-w
Mapping the structure of the world economy
Lenzen, M., K. Kanemoto, D. Moran, A. Geschke.
Environmental Science & Technology
10.1021/es300171xSupp. Info

This is the core paper of the Eora global supply chain database.

The Global MRIO Lab - Charting the world economy
Lenzen, M., A. Geschke, M. Rahman, Y. Xiao, E. Dietzenbacher, S. Inomata, K. Kanemoto, B. Los, D. Moran, R. Reyes, H. Schulte in den Bäumen, A. Tukker, T. Walmsley, T. Wiedmann, R. Wood, N. Yamano
Economic Systems Research
10.1080/09535314.2017.1301887
Variation in trends of consumption based carbon accounts
R. Wood, R. Moran, J. F. D. Rodrigues, K. Stadler
Scientific Data
10.1038/s41597-019-0102-x
The Environmental footprints Explorer: A Database for Global Sustainability Accounting
Stadler, K., Lonka, R., D. Moran, Pallas, G., Wood, R.
Proceedings of the 29th EnviroInfo and 3rd ICT4S Conference 2015 Copenhagen, Denmark
PDF
Improving the analysis of global value chains: the UNCTAD-Eora Database
B. Casella, R. Bolwijn, D. Moran, K. Kanemoto
Transnational Corporations

An easy overview of how spatial footprinting methods are used to link satellite, and other remote-sensed environmental data, to specific economic decisions. Watch lectures presenting spatial footprinting: Leiden EEE Lecture Series and The Alan Turing Institute

International trade drives biodiversity threats in developing nations
Lenzen, M, D. Moran, K. Kanemoto, B. Foran, L. Lobefaro, A. Geschke
Nature
10.1038/nature11145 Supp. Info
Agricultural and forestry trade drives large share of tropical deforestation emissions
F. Pendrill, U. M. Persson, J. Godar, T. Kastner, D. Moran,S. Schmidt, R. Wood
Global Environmental Change
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.03.002

This study found that 29–39% of emissions from deforestation (0.65Gt CO2) are driven by international trade, mainly in beef and oilseeds. One sixth of the carbon footprint of EU diets is due to deforestation emissions.

Environmental footprints of farmed chicken and salmon bridge the land and sea
Kuempel, C., Frazier, M., Verstaen, J., Rayner, P. E., Blanchard J. L., Bouwman, A. F., Cottrell, R. S., Froehlich, H. E., Gephart, J. A., Jacobsen, N. S., McIntyre, P. B., Metian, M., Moran, D. Nash, K. L., Többen, J., Williams, D. R., Halpern, B. S.
Current Biology
10.1016/j.cub.2023.01.037

Read the editorial from Nature

Putting all foods on the same table: Achieving sustainable food systems requires full accounting
B. S. Halpern, R. S. Cottrell, J. L. Blanchard, L. Bouwman, H. E. Froehlich, J. A. Gephart, N. S. Jacobsen, C. Kuempel, P. B. McIntyre, M. Metian, D. Moran, K. L. Nash, J. Többen, D. Williams
Proceedings of the National Academies of Science
10.1073/pnas.1913308116

We argued that research on sustainable diets needs to give more attention to non-mainstream foods. The top commodity crops are well-measured and well reported on, but smallholder crops and artisenal fisheries are often neglected in big-picture studies about sustinable diets.

Reply to: The environmental footprint of fisheries
B. S. Halpern, R. S. Cottrell, J. L. Blanchard, L. Bouwman, H. E. Froehlich, J. A. Gephart, N. S. Jacobsen, C. Kuempel, D. Moran, K. L. Nash, D. R. Williams
Nature Sustainability
10.1038/s41893-023-01223-4
Assessing U.S. consumers' carbon footprints reveals outsized impact of the top 1%
Starr, Jared, Nicolson, C., Ash, M., Markowitz, E.M., Moran, D.
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107698

We estimate that the top 0.1% in the US have emissions nearly sixty times higher than bottom decile. The paper went viral on twitter with 700,000 views.

The environmental footprint of global food production (non-paywalled preprint PDF)
Halpern, B. S., Frazier, M., Verstaen, J., Rayner, P. E., Clawson, G., Blanchard, J. L., Bouwman, A. F., Cottrell, R.S., Froehlich, H. E., Gephart, J.A., Jacobsen, N. S., Kuempel, C. D., McIntyre, P. B., Metian, M., Moran, D., Nash, K. L., Többen, J., Williams, D. R.
Nature Sustainability
10.1038/s41893-022-00965-x

Covered in the Washington Post and Anthropocene.

Integrating Life Cycle and Impact Assessments to Map Food's Cumulative Environmental Footprint
C. D. Kuempel, M. Frazier, K. L. Nash, N. S. Jacobsen, D. R. Williams, J. L. Blanchard, R. S. Cottrell, P. B. McIntyre, D. Moran,L. Bouwman, H. E. Froehlich, J. A. Gephart, M. Metian, J. Többen, B. S. Halpern
One Earth
10.1016/j.oneear.2020.06.014
Resource footprints and their Ecosystem Consequences
Verones, F., D. Moran, Stadler, K., Wood, R. Kanemoto, K.
Scientific Reports
10.1038/srep40743
Trade and the role of non-food commodities for global eutrophication
Hamilton, H., Ivanova, D., Stadler, K., Merciai, S., Schmidt, J., van Zelm, R., Moran, D., Wood, R.
Nature Sustainability
10.1038/s41893-018-0079-z
Meat consumption does not explain differences in household food carbon footprints in Japan
Kanemoto, K, Moran, D., Shigetomi, Y., Reynolds, C., Kondo, Y.
One Earth
j.oneear.2019.12.004
Carbon Footprints of 13,000 Cities
D. Moran, Kanemoto, K., Jiborn, M., Wood, R., Tobben, J., Seto, K. C.
Environmental Research Letters
10.1088/1748-9326/aac72a
Spatial Variation in Household Consumption-Based Carbon Emission Inventories for 1,200 Japanese Cities
Kanemoto, K.; Shigetomi, Y.; Hoang, N.; Okuoka, K.; Moran, D.
Environmental Research Letters
10.1088/1748-9326/abc045
The ecological footprint of cities and regions: comparing resource availability with resource demand
Wackernagel, M., J. Kitzes, D. Moran, S. Goldfinger, M. Thomas
Environment & Urbanization
10.1177/0956247806063978
Ecological Footprint Accounts for Advancing Sustainability: Measuring Human Demand on Nature
Wackernagel, M., D. Moran, S. White, and M. Murray.
Chapter in Lawn, P. (ed.), Sustainable Development Indicators and Public Policy: Assessing the Policy-Guiding Value of Sustainable Development Indicators. Edward Elgar: London.
Quantifying Europe's biodiversity footprints and the role of urbanization and income
Koslowski, M., Wood, R., Tisserant, A., Moran, D.
Global Sustainability
10.1017/sus.2019.23
Mapping the Carbon Footprint of Nations
Kanemoto, K., Moran, D., Hertwitch, E.
Environmental Science and Technology
10.1021/acs.est.6b03227

This paper was highlighted as an Editor’s Choice in Science

National Greenhouse Gas Accounting for Effective Climate Policy on International Trade
Kander, A., Jiborn, M., D. Moran, Wiedmann, T.
Nature Climate Change
10.1038/NCLIMATE2555
Beyond peak emission transfers: historical impacts of globalisation and future impacts of climate policies on international emission transfers
Wood, R; Grubb, M; Anger-Kraavi, A; Stadler, K; Pollitt, H; Rizzo, Ben; Alexandri, E.; Moran, D.; Hertwich, E; Tukker, A.
Climate Policy
10.1080/14693062.2019.1619507
The structure, drivers, and policy implications of the European carbon footprint
Wood, R., Neuhoff, K., Moran, D., Simas, M., Grubb, M., Stadler, K.
Climate Policy
10.1080/14693062.2019.1639489
Frameworks for comparing emissions associated with production, consumption, and international trade
Kanemoto, K., M. Lenzen, G. Peters, D. Moran, A. Geschke
Environmental Science & Technology
10.1021/es202239t
Decoupling or delusion? Measuring emissions displacement in foreign trade
Jiborn, M., Kander, A., Kulionis, V., Nielsen, H., Moran, D.
Global Environmental Change
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.12.006
Consistency of technology-adjusted consumption-based accounting Reply
Kander, A., M. Jiborn, D. Moran, T. Wiedman
Nature Climate Change
10.1038/nclimate3060
Quantifying the potential for consumer-oriented policy to reduce European and foreign carbon emissions
Moran, D., Wood, R., Hertwich, E., Matteson, K., Tukker, A., Rodriguez, J., Schannes, K., Barrett, J.
Climate Policy
10.1080/14693062.2018.1551186

This paper was highlighted in a special report by The Economist about what individuals and companies can do to reduce their Scope 3 emissions.

Tracing Global Supply Chains to Air Pollution Hotspots
D. Moran, Kanemoto, K.
Environmental Research Letters
10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094017
Tracing Embodied CO2 in Trade using High Resolution Input-Output Tables
D. Moran, A. Geschke
Chapter in Computationally Intelligent Data Analysis for Sustainable Development. Ed. T. Yu. ISBN 9781138198692
Particulate matter-attributable mortality and relationships with carbon dioxide in 250 urban areas worldwide
S. C. Anenberg, P. Achakulwisut, M. Brauer, D. Moran, J. S. Apte, D. K. Henze
Scientific Reports
10.1038/s41598-019-48057-9

Featured as a Research Highlight in Nature Climate Change

The Material Footprint of Nations – Reassessing Resource Productivity
Wiedmann, T., H. Schandel, D. Moran, J. West, M. Lenzen, K. Kanemoto, S. Suh
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
doi:10.1073/pnas.1220362110 Supp. Info
FABIO — The Construction of the Food and Agriculture Biomass Input–Output Model
M. Bruckner, R. Wood, D. Moran, N. Kuschnig, H. Wieland, V. Maus, J. Börner
Environmental Science & Technology
10.1021/acs.est.9b03554
The footprint of using metals – new metrics of consumption and productivity
Wiedmann, T., Schandl, H., D. Moran.
Environmental Economics and Policy Studies
10.1007/s10018-014-0085-y
Global Supply Chains of Coltan
D. Moran, D. McBain, K. Kanemoto, M. Lenzen, A. Geschke
Journal of Industrial Ecology
10.1111/jiec.12206
The Swedish Footprint: A Multi-model Comparison
Dawkins, E., Moran, D., Palm, V., Wood, R. Björk, I.
Journal of Cleaner Production
2018. 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.023
The uncertainty of consumption-based carbon accounts
Rodrigues, J. F. D., Moran, D., Wood R., Behrens, P.
Environmental Science & Technology
. Online 13 June 2018. 10.1021/acs.est.8b00632
Prioritizing Consumption-Based Carbon Policy Based on the Evaluation of Mitigation Potential Using Input-Output Methods
R. Wood, Moran, D., Stadler, K., Ivanova, D., Steen-Olsen, K., Tisserant, A., Hertwich, E.
Journal of Industrial Ecology
. Online 4 Dec 2017. 10.1111/jiec.12702
A Note on the Magnitude of the Feedback Effect in Multi-Region Input-Output Tables
D. Moran, Wood, R., Rodrigues, J. F. D.
Journal of Industrial Ecology
. Online 6 Sep 2017. 10.1111/jiec.12658
Compiling and using input-output frameworks through collaborative virtual laboratories
Lenzen, M., Geschke, A., Wiedmann, T., Lane, J., Anderson, N., Baynes, T., Boland, J., Daniels, P., Dey, C., Fry, J., Hadjikakou, M., Kenway, S., Malik, A., D. Moran, D., Murray, J., Nettleton, S., Poruschi, L., Reynolds, C., Rowley, H., Ugon, J., Webb, D. and West, J.
Science of the Total Environment
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.03.062
Investigating Alternative Approaches to Harmonise Multi-Regional Input-Output Data
Geschke, A., Wood, R., Kanemoto, K., Lenzen, M., D. Moran
Economic Systems Research
. 10.1080/09535314.2014.937069
A non-sign-preserving RAS variant
Lenzen, M., D. Moran, A. Geschke, K. Kanemoto
Economic Systems Research
10.1080/09535314.2014.897933
Structural change and the environment: A case study of china's production recipe and carbon dioxide emissions
Lan, J, Lenzen, M, Dietzenbacher, E, D. Moran , Kanemoto, K, Murray, J, Geschke, A.
Journal of Industrial Ecology
10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00518.x
A cycling method for constructing input-output table time series from incomplete data
Lenzen, M, M. Moura, A. Geschke, K. Kanemoto, D. Moran
Economic Systems Research
10.1080/09535314.2012.724013
Measuring Sustainable Development - Nation by Nation
D. Moran, M. Wackernagel, J. Kitzes, S. Goldfinger, A. Boutaud
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.08.017
Measuring Sustainability
D. Moran, M. Wackernagel
in The Educator’s Guide to Sustainability. Ed. J. Murray, C. Dey, C. Andrews.
Using Ecological Footprint Accounts: From analysis to applications
M. Wackernagel, S. White, D. Moran
Int. J. Environment and Sustainable Development
10.1504/IJESD.2004.005077
L’impronta Ecologica
M. Wackernagel, D. Moran, S. Goldfinger
Equilibri
10.1406/19401
Does Ecologically Unequal Exchange Occur?
D. Moran, M. Lenzen, K. Kanemoto, A. Geschke
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.02.013 Supp. Info

This paper prompted a critical response by Dorninger and Hornborg; here is their commentary, and our reply

Trading Spaces: Embodied Ecological Footprints in Trade
D. Moran, M. Wackernagel, J. Kitzes, M. Murray, B. Heumann, D. Phan
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.11.011
Interpretation and application of the Ecological Footprint: A reply to Fiala
Kitzes, J. D. Moran_, Galli, A., Wada, M., Wackernagel, M.
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.11.001
International Trade of Scarce Water
Lenzen, M, D. Moran, et al
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.06.018
Global Economic Impacts of Severe Space Weather
Schulte in den Bäumen, H., D. Moran, Lenzen, M., Cairns, I., Steenge, A.
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci
10.5194/nhess-14-2749-2014
Decoupling between human development and energy consumption within footprint accounts
Ortzi, Akizu-Gardoki, G. Bueno, T. Wiedmann, J. Manuel Lopez-Guede, I. Arto, P. Hernandez, D. Moran
Journal of Cleaner Production
10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.235
Time Matters: The Carbon Footprint of Everyday Activities in Austria
Smetschka, B., Wiedenhofer, D., Egger, C., Haselsteiner, E., Moran, D., Gaube, V.
Ecological Economics
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106357

Carbon footprint and Input-Output Analysis - An Introduction - by Tommy Wiedmann

The Role of Input-Output Analysis for Screening Corporate Carbon Footprints Y. Anny Huang et al.

Introduction to Environmentally Extended IO Analysis - By Anke Schaffartzik and colleagues at the Institute for Social Ecology in Vienna

An Introduction to Environmentally-Extended Input-Output Analysis - by Justin Kitzes

Calculating Value Added in Trade - A User Guide - by Aqib Aslam and colleagues at the IMF

Eurostat Input-Output Manual - Along with the UN SNA, the canonical reference manual.

Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions - The textbook by Miller and Blair

Manfred Lenzen's MRIO lecture series on YouTube - Highly recommended